U.S.

Majority of Americans don’t want Biden or Trump to run again in 2024, CNBC poll shows


US President Joe Biden speaks about strengthening the economy for union workers and retirees at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, next to the White House in Washington, DC on December 8, 2022.

Brendan Smialowski | AFP | Getty Images

“No thanks!”

This is how the majority of the public reacts when CNBC All America Economic Survey asked whether President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump should run for president again.

The poll found that 61% of the public think Trump should not run for president, compared to 30% who think he should. And 70% say Biden should not run for a second term, with just 19% supporting the run.

Substantial numbers in each politician’s party prefer not to have their names on the ballot, including 37 percent of Republicans who don’t want Trump to run, along with 61 percent of independents and 88 percent of Democrats.

For Biden, 57 percent of Democrats say he should not run for office in 2024, along with 66 percent of independents and 86 percent of Republicans.

CNBC pollsters, both Democratic and Republican, believe that Democrats are likely to support Biden if he is the nominee and that Republicans are likely to support Trump. In a primary, each candidate would have a significant level of support that could enable them to win their party’s endorsement, especially against a large field of contenders who would split the vote.

Still, both pollsters pointed to strong opposition from each party and said neither Trump nor Biden is starting with a strong position. While Trump has announced that he is running, President Biden has yet to make it official.

The poll of 801 Americans nationwide was conducted Nov. 26-30. It has a margin of error of +/-3.5%.

The poll found that 47 percent of those who think Biden should not run say age is a major reason, including 61 percent of Democrats who don’t want him on the ballot and 66 percent of adults. In contrast, only 43% of the 18-49 demographic cite age as the main reason. Biden turned 80 last month.

Only 8% say age is a major reason they don’t support another run for Trump, who is 76.

Submit Biden’s approval ratings

Biden has other problems besides age. Despite a stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in congressional elections and several legislative victories, Biden’s overall approval rating fell to 41% from 46% in the October survey, with his disapproval rising to 54% from 50%. The president’s economic approval fell to 38% from 40%, and disapproval rose a point to 57%.

Only 20% of the public thinks the Biden administration’s efforts to ease inflation are helping, down five points from October; 28% believe it hurts, down two points, and 49% say it doesn’t make much of a difference, up seven points.

The survey found broadly negative views of the economy and outlook, with just 14% saying the economy is good or excellent, the lowest level since 2013.

When it comes to Congress’ top priorities, Americans are unusually united: They want lawmakers to tackle inflation. 87% of the public say it should be the No. 1 job and is the top choice for both parties and independents.

Other issues show more traditional divisions: Deficit and spending cuts are the second choice for both the public and Republicans and independents. But only 47 percent of Democrats think it should be a priority for Congress, compared with 84 percent of Republicans.

National protection of abortion rights is the second highest priority for Democrats. He was chosen by 72% of Democrats, but only 39% of independents and 17% of Republicans. And 68 percent of Republicans say investigating the Biden administration should be a top priority, compared with 38 percent of independents and 12 percent of Democrats.

Immigration and border security rank high for Republicans, but not for Democrats. And Democrats strongly support Congress providing aid to Ukraine, a low priority for Republicans.

(You can see the full study here.)


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